Dropping Odds
When a sharp market shortens a price, soft bookmakers usually follow a little later. This page shows each drop at the sharp books as it happens, and the bookmakers that still offer more than the new price. Pre-match only, across football, basketball, tennis, ice hockey, American football and baseball. Looking for bets priced above their fair odds? See value bets.
39 drops with a bookmaker above the new price · free preview, 5 minutes delayed
- Tunisia - Libya−19.9%Selection: Libya11.95 → 9.569 · 12m agoPolymarket: 11.95 → 9.569above 9.569above 9.569above 9.56917 bookmakers still pay more than the new price of 9.569
- Gabon - Lesotho−12.9%Selection: Draw6.2 → 5.4 · 17m agoMatchbook: 6.2 → 5.4Polymarket: 5.998 → 5.337Smarkets: 6.402 → 5.8above 5.4above 5.4above 5.418 bookmakers still pay more than the new price of 5.4
- Minnesota - Dallas−8.4%Selection: Over 234.53.1 → 2.84 · 8m agoProphetX: 3.1 → 2.84above 2.84above 2.84above 2.844 bookmakers still pay more than the new price of 2.84
See all 39 drops as they happen
Soft bookmakers follow the sharp market with a delay. Pro shows you who has not moved yet, while the old price is still there.
- Live, without the 5-minute delay
- Every bookmaker still above the new price
- Your edge against the new sharp price
- Price history at each sharp book
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FAQ
What are dropping odds?
Odds drop when a bookmaker shortens the price on a selection, usually because money arrived on it or new information (a line-up, an injury) came out. A drop at a sharp bookmaker or exchange such as Pinnacle, Betfair, Smarkets, Matchbook, Polymarket or Kalshi is a strong signal, because those markets are moved by informed bettors.
How do you detect a dropping odd?
We read every price change from our sharp books as it arrives. A drop is reported when a sharp book shortens a selection by at least 3 % and 1.5 percentage points of implied probability against its high of the last 30 minutes.
Why does a drop matter if I bet at a soft bookmaker?
Soft bookmakers often follow the sharp market with a delay of seconds to minutes. Every drop lists the soft bookmakers that still offer more than the sharp book's new price — that gap is the edge, and it closes as soon as they catch up.
Is the free list live?
Free visitors see the three largest drops that are at least five minutes old, without the bookmakers that still pay the old price. Pro members get the full list live, refreshed every 30 seconds, with the price history and every bookmaker above the new price.